Skip to main content
Skip to main content

Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

All Reports Webcasts
bca.uses_wr_2026_04_20_cms.png
Report
Earnings Strength Should Keep The Risk-On Rally Alive
The S&P 500 rally is likely more than just risk-relief. Market internals reflect strengthening economic growth and higher inflation, with support coming from robust earnings. Tight financial conditions have compressed valuations, particularly within the Tech sector. We are initiating a long Software...
Equities Technology
20 Apr 2026
gmac_si_cms.png
Report
Red Light, Green Light: The Hormuz Version
Red Light. Green Light. So much for the “all clear” in the Hormuz saga....
Iran
19 Apr 2026
bca.gps_si_2026_04_17_cover.png
Report
Housekeeping After The US-Iran Ceasefire
The Iran war is deescalating further — against our expectations — setting up an aggressive return to the risk-on rally....
Iran War/Conflict
17 Apr 2026
bca.fes_wr_2026_04_17_thumbnail.png
Report
Dollar Roundtrip: Geopolitics Priced Out, Reality Pending
The dollar’s pullback masks a quiet improvement in its cyclical backdrop, with growth, monetary policy, and flows turning in its favor. As markets fully price out geopolitical risk, the USD should decouple from oil and better reflect these gains, despite lingering structural headwinds....
US Dollar Geopolitics
17 Apr 2026
Marko_Matt_Roukaya.png
Webcast Replay
Strait Talk

Marko Papic, Matt Gertken, and Roukaya Ibrahim look at the latest developments in the Strait of Hormuz and the implications for global financial markets.

Topics  discussed:

  • Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold? What should investors monitor to determine whether it is failing?
  • How long will it take for energy flows and shipping to improve significantly? What would cause a relapse?
  • Will the disconnect between financial markets and the real economic impact prove lasting or significant?
  • How should investors position for the future evolution of commodity markets and commodity-linked assets?
  • What other market dynamics will emerge and will Hormuz remain the central global focus?

 

 

Watch Now
bca.ems_mid_2026_04_17_cw.png
Report
Hungary: Go Long HUF / Short US Dollar
Hungary’s growth outlook has improved as the election of a new government will likely unlock significant EU funds for the country. Currency traders should go long the Hungarian forint / short US dollar....
Hungary Central Europe
17 Apr 2026
JuanCorrea.png
Webcast Replay
Anatomy Of An Oil Shock

Juan discussed:

  • What are the consequences of the current oil shock to the global economy?
  • How will policy makers respond to this shock?
  • What indicators should investors be looking for a resolution?
  • What indicators should investors look for to get more positive on equities?
  • What are the long term consequences of the war?

 

Watch Now
bca.gis_wr_2026_04_16_email.png
Report
How Much Of A Threat Is Inflation?
We do not expect the oil shock to have a lasting effect on inflation. Looking further out, a variety of structural forces will influence inflation, including fiscal policy, globalization, demographics, and AI....
Inflation Economy
16 Apr 2026
bca.usbs_si_2026_04_16_cover.png
Report
Returning To A Low Vol World
The rates market is moving back into a low vol regime, but with yields at a higher level. This argues for maximizing carry across the Treasury curve....
US Gov Sovereigns/Treasurys
16 Apr 2026
bca.cpt_sr_2026_04_16_s1_email.png
Report
The Mystery Of Inflation Expectations, Finally Solved
In this Special Report, we describe how inflation expectations are formed. We then demonstrate that steady state inflation expectations have un-anchored in the UK, are un-anchoring in Japan, and are at high risk of un-anchoring in the US. And we conclude with some implications for bond markets....
Inflation Fixed Income
16 Apr 2026