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Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

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Report
President Trump has announced that the US would impose a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, in effect exacerbating the partial blockade that has already been in place due to Iran’s threats against shipping in the Persian Gulf. The threat comes after the direct negotiations between Iran and the US in ...
12 Apr 2026
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Report
In this report, we deviate from our base case and instead assume that there is an immediate improvement in Hormuz traffic. This exercise allows us to explore how the global oil supply shortfall could eventually be offset if the right conditions are in place....
10 Apr 2026
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Report
Inflation’s underlying trend was headed lower prior to the Iran war. This makes the recent back-up in bond yields look like an attractive buying opportunity....
10 Apr 2026
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Report
The relief rally in stocks can continue a while longer. However, much can still go wrong. As such, we are retaining a 12-month underweight to stocks but are moving to neutral on a short-term tactical horizon....
09 Apr 2026
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Report
Outside Asian semiconductor producers, EM corporate earnings and profitability have seen little improvement. Despite the ceasefire in the Middle East, the medium-term outlook for EM stocks is still unattractive....
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Report
We remain overweight APAC in both Private Equity and Venture Capital, recognizing the region and its opportunities have evolved meaningfully. Buyouts are growing faster than many realize, driven by Japan, while a deeper reset in fundamentals versus global markets supports stronger upside potential....
09 Apr 2026
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Report
Trump’s breaking point is encapsulated by the combined drawdown in stocks plus bonds reaching 12-15 percent. On this basis, we describe how to ‘trade Trump’. Plus, we highlight three positions that should do well independent of Trump’s actions, including a new trade....
09 Apr 2026
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Report
The ceasefire announced on Tuesday may signal peak intensity in the Middle East crisis, but sustained energy price pressures will continue to challenge Chinese corporate profitability....
08 Apr 2026
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Webcast Replay

In this webcast, BCA Research Chief Strategists, Mathieu Savary, Robert Timper, Jeremie Peloso and Artem Sakhbiev discussed the following:

  • Oil: Temporary buffers are masking a looming oil deficit that could trigger a global recession.
  • Inflation: The shock is stagflationary, but weaker labor markets limit second-round inflation risks.
  • Policy: Central banks are likely to look through inflation short term, then pivot to growth concerns.
  • FX: Terms-of-trade dynamics favor USD and commodity exporters over energy importers.
  • Markets: Bonds offer asymmetric upside; equities and FX remain driven by energy exposure and policy repricing.
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Report
We have received several questions from clients regarding practical issues surrounding strategic positions on gold. We find that gold is liquid and relatively inexpensive to trade while being a reliable diversifier that provides enough excess returns to account for loss in yield....
08 Apr 2026